The Power Of Nature.Wild Weather.Climate Change.

[tobyjugg2]

and the crucial part:

 

"13 years of North Sea licensing under the Tories has led to the discovery of very small amounts of gas, the equivalent of just nine weeks’ worth of typical usage across the country."

"These 12 new fields contain just nine weeks of gas, but only half have begun producing. To date, just 16 days worth of gas has been produced from them since 2010. And half of this has been produced by the Sillimanite gas field, which is 30%-owned by Russian gas giant Gazprom, and has been exported to the Netherlands."

 

and I'll bet the money from the sale doesn't go to green, sustainable, cost effective UK jobs/energy creation eh?

 

Just another Tory scam routing taxpayer money to pals and doners

[tobyjugg2]

Just in case there are any with doubts:

More extreme weather events like extreme storms, ectreme flash rainfall, extreme winds, and real world possibilities/probabilities of a foot of sea level increase by 2050  - while sunak reduces renewable investment and increases oil drilling tax funded licenses.

"The Earth’s climate is more sensitive to human-caused changes than scientists have realized until now, meaning that a “dangerous” burst of heating will be unleashed that will push the world to be 1.5C hotter than it was, on average, in pre-industrial times within the 2020s and 2C hotter by 2050, the paper published on Thursday predicts.

‘We are damned fools’: scientist who sounded climate alarm in 80s warns of worse to come

This alarming speed-up of global heating, which would mean the world breaches the internationally agreed 1.5C threshold set out in the Paris climate agreement far sooner than expected, risks a world “less tolerable to humanity, with greater climate extremes”, according to the study led by Hansen, the former Nasa scientist who issued a foundational warning about climate change to the US Congress back in the 1980s."

 

Global heating is accelerating, warns scientist who sounded climate alarm in the 80s | Climate crisis | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Study delivers dire warning although rate of increase is debated by some scientists amid a record-breaking year of heat

 

 

Global warming in the pipeline | Oxford Open Climate Change | Oxford Academic

ACADEMIC.OUP.COM

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Abstract. Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change yields Charney (fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2 ±...

 

[tobyjugg2]

Of course, we already have breached 1.5 degrees repeatedly, and the Northern hemisphere land masses by a large margin, as already detailed here, its just the yearly average that hasn't quite breached it yet.

If the shallow sea around the UK had been included (4-5 degrees above normal over a significant period) ..

- its only the deep seas thats kept the average below 2 degrees of heating let alone 1.5 - but that storage cooler is heating up at an accelerating rate.

 

World breaches key 1.5C warming mark for record number of days

WWW.BBC.CO.UK

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The BBC finds that there have been a record number of days in 2023 that breached the 1.5C temperature limit.

Edited November 5, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

Thames Water has pumped at least 72bn litres of sewage into the River Thames just since 2020

Roughly equal to 29,000 Olympic swimming pools

 

Thames Water pumped at least 72bn litres of sewage into Thames since 2020 | Water | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Exclusive: Lib Dems call for water companies to be more transparent with their data on sewage spills

 

Edited November 10, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

not just saving the world

the micro economics of a green revolution would transform and turbo charge the UK economy .. including high quality job growth, GDP growth and energy security

Very (traditional) Conservative and very very Rachel Reeve (compliment intended to both)

Of course the current Torys just want to invest in UK bled for profits for their doners in the fossil fuel industry, driving increased cost in an ever diminishing and damaging industry which makes the UK poorer  in every way (apart from a very few) (criticism intended)

 

[tobyjugg2]

On 24/08/2022 at 08:13, tobyjugg2 said:

Worth noting that:

 

A previous 'hottest UK temperature' was in August 1911

Forget the heatwaves of the 50's and 70's, This wasn't broken until August 1990

We know that the new hottest ever recorded (day and night) Uk temps were set just a short while ago (2022)

 

 

I predict that this latest hottest UK day record, extreme as it is, will be broken inside 3 years, even given that the gulf stream is slowing reducing the heat energy to the UK , and we will likely be more effected than most by dumping of cold polar air due to the accelerating breakdown of the 'polar barrier' - and not forgetting that more energy in the UK system generally means more clouds and wind - generally averaging day and night temps ...

(I actually doubt the record will last to this time next year - and it may even get 'tested again this year)

 

 

(and no, the updated stats on the projected current solar cycle duration and energy output aren't available yet - and what is available is very mixed - its still 'officially projected to be another extremely low output solar cycle)

little reminder

[tobyjugg2]

as towns are flooded, and sewage pours into our waterways ..

 

UK's United Utilities half-year buoyed by pricier customer bills

 

UK's United Utilities half-year buoyed by pricier customer bills | Reuters

WWW.REUTERS.COM

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UK's United Utilities Group on Thursday retained its forecast for annual revenue to rise by about 150 million pounds, after the water supplier's...

 

[tobyjugg2]

Turning Beauty Spots into Chamber Pots

Up to 70 days of suspected illegal dumps of sewage in Windermere in 2022, analysis finds | Pollution | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Researcher says data suggests permit conditions breached on up to 70 days, but United Utilities disputes findings

 

[tobyjugg2]

and the Tory party accepted over £3 million in bribes donations from energy companies and other polluters for profit

 

No wonder they effectively gauranteed record profits for the energy companies to the tune of billions of taxpayer money during a crisis

(the only crisis was for tax/bill payers)

 

£3.5m of Tory donations linked to pollution and climate denial, says report | Climate crisis | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Millions given to party and MPs last year came from entities linked to fossil fuels, high-polluting industries and climate denial

 

[tobyjugg2]

and of course, the Tories think they might have a few more £billion off the taxpayer than they thought they would next year

.. so will they give some of it back to the taxpayer? or use it to repair roads or actually give 350M a week to the NHS?

NOPE

Reduce inheritance tax for the richest ... is their priority

 

Jeremy Hunt weighing up inheritance tax cut in autumn statement | Tax and spending | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Chancellor considering move after fall in inflation and being told he will have more money to spend

 

[tobyjugg2]

I dont think the Tories give a damn - they are so behind in the polls they are just asset stripping and giving all they can to those who pay them and might give them jobs when they are trounced

.. the worse shape Britain is in when Labour take over - the better seems to be the only Tory plan

Edited November 17, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

Cant afford green policies?

Well, apart from the simple oft demonstrated fact - green policies are a boon to economies if not munged by self-serving politicians ...

The cost of not is:

 

This week, the United States published its cyclical assessments on the climate crisis. It is the “gold standard” report on how rising global heat is impacting the nation - and what the future is likely to hold. 

The report found the US is warming about 60 per cent faster than the world as a whole, and it is experiencing a billion-dollar disaster around every three weeks on average, compared to once every four months in the 1980s.

Extreme events cost the US nearly $150bn each year - a “conservative” estimate, the National Climate Assessment said.

[tobyjugg2]

The world’s top greenhouse-gas-producing countries plan to increase their emissions enough to surpass the 1.5 °C warming limit, despite having made net-zero pledges. The peer-reviewed research report analyzed governments’ emissions plans from 19 of the 20 biggest emitters.

* Governments project that they will burn 460% more coal than 1.5 °C warming would allow.

* Oil production will exceed the limit by 30%, and gas by 80%.

With green-energy technology advancing, there is a risk that these nations will waste millions on resources that will soon be unnecessary.

 

- Nature Anthropocene and  United Nations Environment Programme Production Gap report

Edited November 19, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

and the seas are getting deeper with human driven climate change sea level rise increasing pressure at the sea beds ..

Not just increased volcanic action

 

Water discovered to be leaking from Earth's crust into the planet's core | indy100

WWW.INDY100.COM

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There is much we still don’t know about the inside of our planet – but scientists recently discovered water is slowly leaking down there from the...

 

[tobyjugg2]

the anti-vaxxers families will be worst hit in these self-inflicted horrors - although it does impact us all

 

Measles deaths jumped over 40% between 2021 and 2022, CDC reports | Live Science

WWW.LIVESCIENCE.COM

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Declines in measles vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic have been tied to an uptick in measles cases, deaths and major outbreaks worldwide.

 

Edited November 20, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

if you thought copout 26 and 27 were a waste of time and energy

- this one is shaping up to be a lulu

 

[tobyjugg2]

Doesnt want to be challenged on his roll backs on commitments - even at an oil kingdom

[tobyjugg2]

you never know, perhaps Sunak is going to unilaterally edict/declare Somalia and Afghanistan safe places to traffick people to while hes at it to give him some options? .. and negate the need to bring Afghan troops who supported the UK here.

 

Edited December 3, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

and on a simple factual note 1.5 degrees is almost history without EPIC efforts by the whole world - which simply isnt happening. In fact even existing far to low commitments aren't happening. Greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase.

We are now on target for 3 degrees of warming at least this century - and almost certainly by the 2050s

 

We are at the stages where we may have to dramatically pollute the atmosphere to prevent runaway (Venus effect) heating - back to London smog type levels unless the upper atmosphere can be specifically targeted.

OK you you live in a fully air conditioned shelter and food chain collapse isnt an issue

 

I know- sounds more like TORs conspiracy rubbish - but the figures are there. We need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 40-50% before 2030 to avoid this

Edited December 3, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

and along with his (allegedly) using cop28 as little more than an oil and gas sales seminar to give him access to buyers

 

Cop28 president says there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels | Cop28 | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Exclusive: UAE’s Sultan Al Jaber says phase-out of coal, oil and gas would take world ‘back into caves’

 

bloody farce

[tobyjugg2]

A very conservative report

 

Global temperature exceeds 2°C above pre-industrial average on 17 November

CLIMATE.COPERNICUS.EU

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Earth briefly passed a critical warming threshold this past weekend. According to data from ERA5, the European Centre for Medium-Range...

 

The ERA5 data indicate that the global surface air temperature on 17 November reached 2.07°C above the pre-industrial average, an average temperature taken between 1850-1900 prior to extensive use of fossil fuels. Also, the provisional data for 18 November indicate a temperature anomaly at 2.06°C above the pre-industrial level.

 

and this is extremely conservartive. My estimations based on the last 5 years seem to put the median at the top of the shaded bit - not the dashes in the middle. - Which of course means the shaded range should be far higher - bet it is next year when its almost certain 1.5 degrees will be breached (for more than a month)

 

Edited December 4, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

On 20/08/2021 at 08:00, tobyjugg2 said:

Lets be quite clear

Blue Hydrogen is not in any way Green hydrogen or green energy, and supporting that industry with taxpayer money is a monstrosity

 

Green hydrogen is an entirely different matter and should be supported.

 

Government reveals plans for £4bn hydrogen investment by 2030 | Hydrogen power | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Low-carbon hydrogen economy could also create thousands of jobs

"last week a study by academics at Cornell and Stanford universities in the US, warned that blue hydrogen could be up to 20% worse for the climate than fossil gas owing to the emissions that escape during its production, multiplied by the amount of gas required to make the equivalent amount of energy from hydrogen."

A reminder from a couple of years ago..

.. and here is

Warning: the UK government’s hydrogen plan isn’t green at all, it’s another oil industry swindle | Kevin Anderson and Simon Oldridge | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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A taxpayer-funded drive for ‘blue’ hydrogen is good news for fossil-fuel lobbyists, but bad news for the climate crisis, say climate academics Kevin...

 

[tobyjugg2]

1.5 was a crucial target - which has been missed - thanks to people like Sultan Ahmed Al-Jaber, and the Tory and US right wing

Its now a target to get back to.

 

[tobyjugg2]

A little reminder, party names may change

 

 

[tobyjugg2]

Dec 8 (Reuters) - The UK's FTSE 100 closed at a seven-week high on Friday with a rebound in crude prices lifting shares of oil majors

 

Heavyweight energy stocks (.FTNMX601010) jumped 1.6% after Saudi Arabia and Russia called for more OPEC+ members to join output cuts, driving up crude oil prices.