The Power Of Nature.Wild Weather.Climate Change.

[tobyjugg2]

Meanwhile, In the real world

 

China Is Bankrolling Green Energy Projects Around the World

TIME.COM

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China boosts geopolitical clout over oil producers as renewable demand soars

 

and who was msot prepared for the recent gas issue

 

5 Charts show why China is a renewable energy superpower

WWW.WEFORUM.ORG

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These charts show China’s commitment to renewable energy. From solar to wind power, China is leading the bandwagon of investments in clean...

 

 

The UK years behind

China Has Set It Sights on Cornering Another Green Energy Market: Hydrogen

WWW.ENERGYCONNECTS.COM

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Energy Connects is a reliable News platform providing Renewable Energy News, Green Energy News, Wind Power News and the latest Energy...

 

 

and greener fertiliser

 

China Has Set It Sights on Cornering Another Green Energy Market: Hydrogen

WWW.ENERGYCONNECTS.COM

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Energy Connects is a reliable News platform providing Renewable Energy News, Green Energy News, Wind Power News and the latest Energy...

 

[tobyjugg2]

oops

Last one should have been

 

https://www.hydrogeninsight.com/production/chinese-green-ammonia-plant-will-be-powered-directly-by-variable-wind-power-without-any-battery-or-hydrogen-storage/2-1-1390811

 

[tobyjugg2]

1 hour ago, theoldrouge said:

Meanwhile in the actual real world 
 

The National Grid is falling apart thanks to

 

Profiteering, lack of investment and lack of a coherent national plan

.. in the real world

 

 

[tobyjugg2]

.. OIL company promotion a 'charity

the concept is simply cretinous

 

Like European Research Group and many others named similarly incorrectly paid for by taxpayers.

[tobyjugg2]

Disgraceful and disgusting,

and the poopulists just try to kick it further into the long grass while the situation deteriorates rapidly on their watch.

 

Britain’s regulators have little idea how much sewage is poured into rivers by water companies because of a lack of sensors, documents seen by i reveal. 

 

It follows the launch of a campaign, Save Britain’s Rivers, by i and sister publication New Scientist to rescue the country’s waterways from the effects of pollution.

 

Britain's rivers are in a terrible state and will only get worse, according to the Government's own figures, with only 14 per cent classified as having a “good” ecological status by the Environment Agency. 

 

Government plans to set a deadline of 2050 to put an end to sewage being dumped in open waters in England and Wales are set to be challenged in the High Court. The plan had previously been heavily criticised by campaigners for setting a deadline of 2050 to end overflows. Click here to find out more about our Save Britain's Rivers campaign. 

 

 

[tobyjugg2]

Aren't many of the farmers going bust thanks to Brexit and its broken promises?

Let alone water quality and supply issues thanks to mismanagement, Global heating effects, Water company profiteering and waterways poisoning by the water companies (ignoring field fertilisation running off into rivers)?

 

- Need to use the land for something.

 

Aussies use solar to reduce land heating effect dont they - large arrays quite high mounted so animals can go underneath and theres an element of shading   ... from sun in Aus and wind and rain here ...

[tobyjugg2]

a pretty picture for those who foolishly and very mistakenly think that current 'Global warming' is just a natural increase in the Suns output

 

 

 

 

https://climate.nasa.gov/climate_resources/189/graphic-temperature-vs-solar-activity/

 

Edited February 21, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

Makes you wonder about the sewage overflows - is effluent all that all thats there in some areas?

Water Con-panies will be charging for the sewage poured into riverbeds next -  oops of course, they already are

 

England’s driest February in 30 years, says Met Office

WWW.INDEPENDENT.CO.UK

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East Anglia, Devon, Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly remain in drought conditions with less than half the average rain falling across the UK.

 

[tobyjugg2]

the Environment Agency has declined to prosecute United Utilities for polluting a river because the incident wouldn’t cause any “lasting damage”.

The water company has recorded more than 81,000 sewage spillages in English rivers in 2021, the highest number of the ten firms that operate in England.

[tobyjugg2]

'carbon capture' is little more than a con

 

The only ways to really capture carbon in a meaningful way are

1. Plant 5x more trees than you cut down

2. Take it out of the air using solar energy and convert it into carbon fiber products

[tobyjugg2]

Watch the world choke on CO2 in eerie NASA videos of manmade emissions | Live Science

WWW.LIVESCIENCE.COM

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The animations highlight emissions from different human and natural sources, with the main contribution coming from the burning of fossil fuels.

 

 

 

[tobyjugg2]

On 16/08/2022 at 21:08, tobyjugg2 said:

Keep an eye on this. There are two prediction models for Sols sunspot/output, and the older one was somewhat lacking

The new one (already linked) is predicting something very different and very dangerous to us, and the data so far is supporting the new prediction model.

 

SILSO | World Data Center for the production, preservation and dissemination of the international sunspot number

WWW.SIDC.BE

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World Data Center for the production, preservation and dissemination of the international sunspot number.

 

Taken a year - but the mainstream is getting there

 

Solar maximum could hit us harder and sooner than we thought. How dangerous will the sun's chaotic peak be? | Live Science

WWW.LIVESCIENCE.COM

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The sun is quickly approaching a major peak in solar activity. Experts warn it could potentially begin by the end of 2023, years before initial predictions...

 

[tobyjugg2]

On 10/11/2021 at 10:06, tobyjugg2 said:

I'm sure we've all seen the many horrifying reports of the 'real' climate report with temperatures now expected to hit 2.7-3 degrees of warming 'by 2070 - turn of century and the horrifying projections of the impact to climate ..

 

but what isnt made clear in that report is that even those are based on ALL the countries largely meeting much of their COP-OUT26 and Paris 'aspirations'  ... yet NONE of these countries actually have anything concrete in place or even actual plans in place to meet even the majority of these 'aspirations ..

 

Given the above, the worst case scenarios based on not meeting any of the 'aspirations' - should be considered the median NOT the worst case scenario

 

I still hold that 1.5 degrees of warming will be HERE in the 2024-2026 period (the next solar peak) and it is unlikely to fall below that again for more than a year or 2 at most during the next solar minimum AT BEST

 

 

Doubt that?

Largely - its already here with land only average temperature rise running @ 1.42°C (2.56°F) above average

(+1.69°C (+3.04°F) in the Northern Hemisphere land)

 

"Much of the globe experienced warmer-than-average conditions, with temperature departures of at least +3.0°C (+5.4°F) across large portions of the Northern Hemisphere land, specifically across parts of North America, Europe, and western and central Russia.

 

The North Pacific Ocean and parts of the Atlantic Ocean had temperatures that were at least 2.0°C (3.6°F) above average.

 

Record-warm June temperature departures were observed across parts of North America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, Asia, and northern South America. Record-warm June temperatures encompassed 4.18% of the world's surface. This was the sixth highest June percentage since records began in 1951.

 

The global land-only surface temperature for June 2021 was the highest on record at 1.42°C (2.56°F) above average.

This value surpassed the previous record set in 2019 by +0.11°C (+0.20°F).

The ten warmest June global land-only surface temperatures have occurred since 2010. The unusually warm June global land-only surface temperature was mainly driven by the very warm Northern Hemisphere land, which also had its highest June temperature departure at +1.69°C (+3.04°F). The now second highest June temperature for the Northern Hemisphere occurred in 2012 (+1.51°C / +2.72°F)."

 

Global Climate Report - June 2021 | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

WWW.NCDC.NOAA.GOV

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an analysis of global temperatures and precipitation, placing the data into a historical perspective

 

 

from 2 years ago

"I'm sure we've all seen the many horrifying reports of the 'real' climate report with temperatures now expected to hit 2.7-3 degrees of warming 'by 2070 - turn of century and the horrifying projections of the impact to climate ..

but what isnt made clear in that report is that even those are based on ALL the countries largely meeting much of their COP-OUT26 and Paris 'aspirations'  ... yet NONE of these countries actually have anything concrete in place or even actual plans in place to meet even the majority of these 'aspirations ..

Given the above, the worst case scenarios based on not meeting any of the 'aspirations' - should be considered the median NOT the worst case scenario"

 

"I still hold that 1.5 degrees of warming will be HERE in the 2024-2026 period (the next solar peak) and it is unlikely to fall below that again for more than a year or 2 at most during the next solar minimum AT BEST"

... and here it comes

 

Earth’s average 2023 temperature is now likely to reach 1.5 °C of warming

WWW.NATURE.COM

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But to breach the Paris agreement’s limit, the heating must be sustained for many years. But to breach the Paris agreement’s limit, the heating must be...

 

 

Edited September 26, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

2 hours ago, honeybee13 said:

That's pretty scary, TJ. I hope I don't live to see it.

???? .. This year the average is expected to have breached, next year similar or higher ...

Are you seriously ill HB?

 

2 hours ago, honeybee13 said:

I hope I don't live to see it.Changing the subject, I saw recently that some MPs from Macron's party aren't happy about sewage being dumped into the Channel and the North Sea.

Neither am I - including UK rivers and aquifers - while UK water companies and politicians are saying UK population must pay more if they want a basic service - as if the water companies would do anything other than pay increased dividends and senior staff bonuses with it

Rather like Cress and her honors and golden parachute for overseeing a force that is rotten to its core

 

[tobyjugg2]

I see the water crim companies want to increase the water tax the public pays .. to pay for 'investment' to resolve the (allegedly NOT yet proven beyond all possible measures of doubt) illegal and immoral poisoning of our waterways and environment for profit by these companies

.. but they have already been paid to do that - and just gave it and more (by loading the companies with debt) to pay dividends and boss' bonuses for NOT doing that ..

So why would anyone think they wont just carry on in the same manner with any extra money?

Bills should be FROZEN (at least) and ALL dividends and bonuses cancelled until the issues are resolved imo

English water firms ask customers to pay for £96bn plan to cuts leaks and discharges | Water industry | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Upgrades and plans for 30,000 new jobs depend on adding up to £156 extra a year on bills

 

[tobyjugg2]

oh - and if anyone doubts that, according to an analysis by David Hall, visiting professor at the public services international research unit at Greenwich University:

"on average, 23.5 million householders will pay £425 more to 2030 to pay for the investment to fix the sewerage system. This is on top of an increase of £624 to fund dividend payments in the same period."

.. So thats 50% more in (company assurances on) dividends than investment from these increases in water bills.

[tobyjugg2]

I agree with feargal almost completely. I'd accept the invites and turn up with a film crew.

I see the northern end of hs2 has been ditched - until theres another twirl to SAY it hasn't been and another few million of taxpayer money is routed to VIPals to prove it .. until the next general election either removes the responsibility of gives them 4/5 more years to fuddle it (and more pollution poured into the rivers in the smoke and mirror efforts to make it look like it will be done).

 

 

 

[tobyjugg2]

and a little additional point:

The approx 11 year sun cycle is 'widely known. That its variable, and shorter cycles normally end up much hotter at an earlier peak is less well known

This appear to be one of those cycles.

An additional extreme concern is that the sun also has approx 90 year cycles .. and we are looking more and more like we are at the start of 30-40 years of increased solar output in addition to the still increasing levels of greenhouse gas output turning our planet into a greenhouse to trap that increased heat.

 

Of course all this is complicated by planetary orbits and their gravitational effects on the Sun as well as the distance,

... and our Earths' orbit not being circular .. but we have also passed the point where our orbit is furthest from the sun in summer ...

 

The failing of the 'gulf stream' which added heat to the British isles and our Oceanic facing Northern location is buffering us somewhat - but note that British sea temperatures have been 4-5 degrees above 'normal' ... and that isnt all to do with fermentation of the human sewage the water companies have been dumping.

 

Rapid dumping of vast amount of polar 'cold' into the Northern (our) latitudes will be a sign of tipping points being breached.

 

Yearly mean and monthly smoothed sunspot number | SIDC

WWW.SIDC.BE

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Yearly mean sunspot number (black) up to 1749 and monthly 13-month smoothed sunspot number (blue) from 1749 up to the present.

 

[tobyjugg2]

Seems likely to be worse than that HB as its being reported that Sunuck intends to not only juggle figures, but also claim prior claimed 'over' (sic lol) 'achievements ie in carbon offset trading (which has been demonstrated as false) - against current commitments.

I (shocking even given my opinion of these Cons) cant see anything apart from smoke and mirrors - absolutely nothing other than increases in greenhouse emissions and waste

I know others inc US-A are at least as bad - but this is Britain, who once led the way - some of which ways were good.

 

Lets not forget that HS2 (what there is of it) costs and delays were massively increased by Tories planning the route - then Tory MPs fudging and changing it to suit Tory doners and golf clubs

 

Like this :

 

Senior Tory says Shapps privately assured him £3bn HS2 branch will be scrapped | HS2 | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Exclusive: Assurances offered to Graham Brady may raise questions about why decision has not been made public

 

[tobyjugg2]

Nimbyism writ large

Thanks to the nimby lobbying of Tory MPs in the Cotswolds and elsewhere on the route between London and Birmingham, the first leg of HS2 spends most of its time in cuttings and going through tunnels.  So much so that it is estimated that out of a 48-minute journey, passengers will only have 7 minutes with a view. 

Not only is this a shame for passengers but it is a very major part of the cost overrun – cuttings and, in particular, tunnels are very expensive.

- TLE

 

[tobyjugg2]

On 12/10/2023 at 20:46, tobyjugg2 said:

Seems likely to be worse than that HB as its being reported that Sunuck intends to not only juggle figures, but also claim prior claimed 'over' (sic lol) 'achievements ie in carbon offset trading (which has been demonstrated as false) - against current commitments.

and here it is:

a quote: First, in the allocation of humanitarian spending in the 10% of the poorest countries, the UK will in future assume 30% was spent on internal climate finance, without making a precise calculation. (aka without checking)

Simile: The UK will now assume all the vast tax relief given to oil companies will be spent on green investment rather than more oil drilling without bothering to check, and claim those sums as such to boost our green credentials even though we have no reason to believe they will be. .. but no evidence they aren't as we wont look.

 

Definitions changing in UK’s bid to meet climate finance target | Politics | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Andrew Mitchell, the development minister, said ‘clarifications’ would more accurately reflect spending

 

 

Edited October 17, 2023 by tobyjugg2

[tobyjugg2]

Collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet is 'unavoidable,' study finds | Live Science

WWW.LIVESCIENCE.COM

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British Antarctic Survey researchers have found that the rate at which ice is melting and contributing to sea level rise will accelerate in the next century...

Its just how quickly, and how much the sea level will rise is at question.

Look at worst case scenarios for a real world median - which may well end up being conservative.

[tobyjugg2]

The public also needs to know how much they received in tax rebates alleviating the 'windfall tax' on their profiteering excess profits .. those rebates apparently based on little if anything more than a few creative accounting practices by the energy giants

.. while British people couldn't (and can't) afford to heat their homes.

 

 

[tobyjugg2]

Expecting any improvements in water quality, or reduction in sewage dumping?

Why when the Tories can just report something different - or nothing relevant at all?

"In 2019, the last time the full water assessments took place, just 14% of rivers were in good ecological health and none met standards for good chemical health. The government has said it does not intend to deliver a complete update until 2025, the latest permissible date under the new WFD."

 

England to diverge from EU water monitoring standards | Rivers | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Exclusive: campaigners fear less rigorous methods could lead to more pollution in rivers and waterways

 

 

While:

"Earlier this year it emerged that South East has spent more on dividends and servicing its debt pile over the past two years than investing in infrastructure. It spent £232m on distributing dividends and paying interest on its debts in the two years to March 2022, according to a research by the University of Greenwich, compared with investments of £179.8m in upgrading infrastructure"

Ofwat warns over financial health of four water suppliers in England | Water industry | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Thames Water and Southern Water among firms urged to take action to secure long-term finances

 

[tobyjugg2]

England's wettest week for decade brings mass pollution and hours of sewage discharge to rivers

INEWS.CO.UK

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Campaigners are raising the alarm about the impact this week's weather is having on rivers, as data show a huge increase in sewage discharges