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    • Yep, I read that and thought about trying to find out what the consideration and grace period is at Riverside but not sure I can. I know they say "You must tell us the specific consideration/grace period at a site if our compliance team or our agents ask what it is"  but I doubt they would disclose it to the public, maybe I should have asked in my CPR 31.14 letter? Yes, I think I can get rid of 5 minutes. I am also going to include a point about BPA CoP: 13.2 The reference to a consideration period in 13.1 shall not apply where a parking event takes place. I think that is Deception .... They giveth with one hand and taketh away with the other!
    • Six months of conflict have also taken a heavy economic toll.View the full article
    • the Town and Country [advertisments ] Regulations 2007 are not easy to understand. Most Council planing officials don't so it's good that you found one who knows. Although he may not have been right if the rogues have not been "controlling" in the car park for that long. The time only starts when the ANPR signs go up, not how long the area has been used as a car park.   Sadly I have checked Highview out and they have been there since at least 2014 . I have looked at the BPA Code of Practice version 8 which covers 2023 and that states Re Consideration and Grace Periods 13.3 Where a parking location is one where a limited period of parking is permitted, or where drivers contract to park for a defined period and pay for that service in advance (Pay & Display), this would be considered as a parking event and a Grace Period of at least 10 minutes must be added to the end of a parking event before you issue a PCN. It then goes on to explain a bit more further down 13.5 You must tell us the specific consideration/grace period at a site if our compliance team or our agents ask what it is. 13.6 Neither a consideration period or a grace period are periods of free parking and there is no requirement for you to offer an additional allowance on top of a consideration or grace period. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________So you have  now only overstayed 5 minutes maximum since BPA quote a minimum of 10 minutes. And it may be that the Riverside does have a longer period perhaps because of the size of the car park? So it becomes even more incumbent on you to remember where the extra 5 minutes could be.  Were you travelling as a family with children or a disabled person where getting them in and out of the car would take longer. Was there difficulty finding a space, or having to queue to get out of the car park . Or anything else that could account for another 5 minutes  without having to claim the difference between the ANPR times and the actual times.
    • Regarding a driver, that HAS paid for parking but input an incorrect Vehicle Registration Number.   This is an easy mistake to make, especially if a driver has access to more than one vehicle. First of all, upon receiving an NTK/PCN it is important to check that the Notice fully complies with PoFA 2012 Schedule 4 before deciding how to respond of course. The general advice is NOT to appeal to the Private Parking Company as, for example, you may identify yourself as driver and in certain circumstances that could harm your defence at a later stage. However, after following a recent thread on this subject, I have come to the conclusion that, in the case of inputting an incorrect Vehicle Registration Number, which is covered by “de minimis” it may actually HARM your defence at a later stage if you have not appealed to the PPC at the first appeal stage and explained that you DID pay for parking and CAN provide proof of parking, it was just that an incorrect VRN was input in error. Now, we all know that the BPA Code of Practice are guidelines from one bunch of charlatans for another bunch of charlatans to follow, but my thoughts are that there could be problems in court if a judge decides that a motorist has not followed these guidelines and has not made an appeal at the first appeal stage, therefore attempting to resolve the situation before it reaches court. From BPA Code of Practice: Section 17:  Keying Errors B) Major Keying Errors Examples of a major keying error could include: • Motorist entered their spouse’s car registration • Motorist entered something completely unrelated to their registration • Motorist made multiple keying errors (beyond one character being entered incorrectly) • Motorist has only entered a small part of their VRM, for example the first three digits In these instances we would expect that such errors are dealt with appropriately at the first appeal stage, especially if it can be proven that the motorist has paid for the parking event or that the motorist attempted to enter their VRM or were a legitimate user of the car park (eg a hospital patient or a patron of a restaurant). It is appreciated that in issuing a PCN in these instances, the operator will have incurred charges including but not limited to the DVLA fee and other processing costs therefore we believe that it is reasonable to seek to recover some of these costs by making a modest charge to the motorist of no more than £20 for a 14-day period from when the keying error was identified before reverting to the charge amount at the point of appeal. Now, we know that the "modest charge" is unenforceable in law, however, it would be up to the individual if they wanted to pay and make the problem go away or in fact if they wanted to contest the issue in court. If the motorist DOES appeal to the PPC explaining the error and the PPC rejects the appeal and the appeal fails, the motorist can use that in his favour at court.   Defence: "I entered the wrong VRN by mistake Judge, I explained this and I also submitted proof of payment for the relevant parking period in my appeal but the PPC wouldn't accept that"   If the motorist DOES NOT appeal to the PPC in the first instance the judge may well use that as a reason to dismiss the case in the claimant's favour because they may decide that they had the opportunity to resolve the matter at a much earlier stage in the proceedings. It is my humble opinion that a motorist, having paid and having proof of payment but entering the wrong VRN, should make an appeal at the first appeal stage in order to prevent problems at a later stage. In this instance, I think there is nothing to be gained by concealing the identity of the driver, especially if at a later stage, perhaps in court, it is said: “I (the driver) entered the wrong VRN.” Whether you agree or not, it is up to the individual to decide …. but worth thinking about. Any feedback, especially if you can prove to the contrary, gratefully received.
    • Women-only co-working spaces are part of the new hybrid working landscape, but they divide opinion.View the full article
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    • We have finally managed to obtain the transcript of this case.

      The judge's reasoning is very useful and will certainly be helpful in any other cases relating to third-party rights where the customer has contracted with the courier company by using a broker.
      This is generally speaking the problem with using PackLink who are domiciled in Spain and very conveniently out of reach of the British justice system.

      Frankly I don't think that is any accident.

      One of the points that the judge made was that the customers contract with the broker specifically refers to the courier – and it is clear that the courier knows that they are acting for a third party. There is no need to name the third party. They just have to be recognisably part of a class of person – such as a sender or a recipient of the parcel.

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      OT APPROVED, 365MC637, FAROOQ, EVRi, 12.07.23 (BRENT) - J v4.pdf
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Mutating Corona Virus


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I've lost track of where the UK stands currently on boosters. At the very least, I'd have thought they'll be needed for variants.

 

France is planning to start vaccinating vulnerable people and healthworkers over 50 from September, as their antibody levels and immunity drop.

 

But I see that Tedros from the WHO thinks it's more important to give first vaccines to more people. In his opinion, being vaccinated gives durable immunity against the virus. It'll be interesting to see what happens to hightail's antibodies over time.

Edited by honeybee13
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Illegitimi non carborundum

 

 

 

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6 minutes ago, honeybee13 said:

I've lost track of where the UK stands currently on boosters. At the very least, I'd have thought they'll be needed for variants.

Problem is we'll be playing catch up with variants.  By the time they manage to modify a vaccine for a current variant another will have taken over as the dominant strain.  With flu vaccine they pick the one each year which they consider most likely to be effective against a predicted strain.  We're a long way off being there with Covid jabs yet.

 

 

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I think Johnson is hoping this will be a lifeline for him, and it may well be

... even though the Beta variant targeted by the 'new vaccine is a generation or 2 and 9 months out of date already, the mutation targeted makes it well worth it.

 

Of concern is O/AZ (in league with Johnsons gov) tarnished reputation for apparently fudging results and apparent 'enhanced' claims of efficacy

.. and perhaps also that they are seemingly making other changes to the vaccine (address blood clotting) which although worthy, increase risk and will need additional careful vetting to ensure they haven't unwittingly caused a more prevalent side effect instead. Given O/AZ's history mentioned above, that doesn't fill me with great confidence.

 

Edited by tobyjugg2

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13 minutes ago, honeybee13 said:

as their antibody levels and immunity drop.

This is something I wish I could get more hard info on.  Nowhere can I find info such as 'after X months protection has waned by Y%'.  Does such information exist or are governments working on the idea that it's a good idea to just keep shoving more of the same into people because they have it sitting spare?

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You wont HB as (for example) if people have been infected whether they know it or not, antibodies and other resistance will almost certainly be far higher in the vast majority of those people - even after exactly the same vaccine + doses as others

 

The human immune system is a very varied beast

 

 

But broadly, antibody levels fall significantly after 6 months for those with 2 vaccinations and no prior infection. o?AZ seems to start lower and taper off quicker than pfiser vaccinated, but the levels still fall off. Undoubtedly the chinese and russian vaccines are at best similar to O/AZ - and probably significantly less so.

Other variants confuse it even more. (think of flu variants)

 

In the light of completeness:

If 90ish% of the UK population were vaccinated or resistant, and sensible mitigations like masks, space, distance and temperature checks were solidly in place, Johnsons 'get people infected' plan would be more understandable and supportable - but still HIGHLY questionable

Edited by tobyjugg2

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Crumbling Hospitals, Schools, council services, businesses and roads

 

If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

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5 minutes ago, tobyjugg2 said:

The human immune system is a very varied beast

Absolutely.  The lab I use provides figures along with your individual results which shows numbers of people tested against antibody numbers.  This is how I know I have not had the virus and that I was at the low end of +ve after a first jab.  Antibody levels are stratospheric for those who have had the virus.

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 I'm not sure if this adds to what we already know. Nature published research from the end of last month.

 

There's a more readable but shorter version in the Times of Israel.

 

WWW.NATURE.COM

A retrospective analysis of data from the Israeli Ministry of Health collected between 28 August 2020 and 24 February 2021 documents the real-life...

 

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Illegitimi non carborundum

 

 

 

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sheesh - good link HB but even I got 'figure fatigue' there

 

I think a lot of the issues with first dose effectiveness is whether people had prior 'contact' with the virus.

Many may have had a small contact which the body resisted - and primed it - which the first vaccine does in a more limited way for those who haven't

In those with prior contact with the virus, the first vaccine dose is effectively a second dose, and the second dose of vaccine - a third practice run

and as we all know - practise makes perfect

Edited by tobyjugg2

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Crumbling Hospitals, Schools, council services, businesses and roads

 

If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

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Just a reminder on the 'herd immunity' plan of Johnsons given HBs' NZ link and the reference to it and the estimation that at least 70% immunity would be needed to achieve some form of 'herd immunity'

(I understand it to be far higher than that in a society without other controls)

 

The study found that, for the period from 5 April to 16 May:

  • the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine was 88% effective against symptomatic disease from the B.1.617.2 variant 2 weeks after the second dose, compared to 93% effectiveness against the B.1.1.7 variant
  • 2 doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine were 60% effective against symptomatic disease from the B.1.617.2 variant compared to 66% effectiveness against the B.1.1.7 variant
  • both vaccines were 33% effective against symptomatic disease from B.1.617.2, 3 weeks after the first dose compared to around 50% effectiveness against the B.1.1.7 variant

Thats 60% effectiveness against symptomatic disease - NOT 60% effectiveness against transmission - which would still not be enough even if it were. It isnt against the older variant let alone the new one.

... and that doesnt even consider our un-vaccinated kids being used as breeding grounds for the virus

 

Johnson must be hoping for better from the new variant vaccine - it should be better - maybe even enough better - until a new variant is cooked by his plans

Edited by tobyjugg2

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 Interesting that in @honeybee13linked Israeli report that they inoculated the teens before their exams based on their projections and saw significant benefits

 

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If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

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along with masks, distance improved air circulation (which was already good)

From well over a year ago ...

 

WWW.TIMESOFISRAEL.COM

With some devices, you won't even have to stop walking to be checked

 

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Reading through all that (well most of it) reminded me of something that had completely slipped my mind

The chinese sinovac vaccine which is an inactivated virus vaccine (effectively injecting dead cov into your body) - and its effectiveness

 

I expected it to be much better than reports suggest - although its claimed efficacy is high against early versions

It also seem to be having problems with new variants - although others do too.

 

The results I'm seeing dont fit well with my understanding - so I'm clearly missing or been mislead with something.

I'm no virologist - but I am a systems person with a LOT of experience.

 

Consider - the inactivated virus sinovac still includes the protein spikes PLUS all the other stuff in the early version of the virus used - enabling your body to practice on much more of the virus

The mRNA vaccines with apparent better results are largely just the spike protein genetics - so why better?

.. and why haven't sinovac released an updated version?

 

A virologist might be able to explain that - I cant.

 

Edited by tobyjugg2

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Just a little further note on Sinovac

 

I had severe doubts on the claimed efficacy that the Sinovac/Chinese gov reported.

Just like the O/AZ/Johnson gov figures.

 

... seems that sinovac and the Chinese gov at least were dealing straight and its at least as good or better than the O/AZ vaccine and the figures were straight according to the recently released extensive Chile real world analysis.

 

THAT speaks volumes.

as does the known fact that the Chinese sat on the 'initial  outbreak for FAR less time than the UK did when they were tracking the Kent variant spread across london and Kent

Edited by tobyjugg2

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If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

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5 hours ago, tobyjugg2 said:

In those with prior contact with the virus, the first vaccine dose is effectively a second dose, and the second dose of vaccine - a third practice run

and as we all know - practise makes perfect

I've seen it suggested that those who have been infected with the disease could maybe get away with just one dose.  The real world figures I've seen do suggest (scream) that's the case.  What I can't find anywhere is a number for the level of antibodies considered worthwhile protection.  Of course the anonymised tables of figures from the lab are a vanishingly small study as they only consist of those who have paid for tests.  That in itself may mean a bias one way or another.

 

I'd also love to understand if measurable antibody levels are what matters long term.  There are jabs we get or diseases we've had which confer long term protection, some supposedly for life.  Is my blood still rife with measurable levels of all of those?

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Well, have you caught measles or the other childhood diseases that can be vaccinated against? Or TB, etc? They're meant to be lifetime protection, I thought.

 

I know that a coronavirus isn't the same, I was talking about your bloodstream being rife with antibodies. :)

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It (as ever!) isn’t that simple, I’m afraid, HB.

 

You mention measles : no real variants, so good (but one can never say ‘lifelong’ as an absolute!) immunity. Yet the coronaviruses can gave different variants / strains (more like ‘flu) so you can get immune to one strain and have only partial protection against others. The coronavirus protection even for one strain isn’t lifelong (so, with evolving strains, too - expect ongoing booster programmes)

 

You mention TB: BCG is  a live (attenuated) vaccine, but never gave 100% (or anywhere close to 100%) protection.

 

As a general rule (there is usually an exception to any rule, and then the exception to the exception!): attenuated vaccines give better protection than killed / sub-unit vaccines.

The “stimulus” to the immune system ‘stays around longer’ than for the killed vaccine, giving both better functional levels, and better immune memory.

 

Hightail : measuring levels is fine, but again, isn’t the whole story. “High levels must be better than lower levels” seems obvious, and is (usually!) correct, but it may be that once a threshold is reached, “higher” doesn’t always mean better protection (though, it may mean “stays above threshold” for longer)

 

There is also the concept of “immunological memory”, so in some situations a lower level but with an immune system “primed” to react better offers more protection. So, there used to be a (near-obsession?) with antibody levels against Hepatitis B for healthcare workers.

Regular (if infrequent!) testing, and ‘boosters’ if the level had waned.

Then they found what mattered was “immunological memory”, and it didn’t matter if the level had dropped as long as the immune system responded well to a challenge: so they stopped doing regular testing for levels, just giving boosters if the worker had an exposure risk event.

 

To add to the mix : “high antibody levels” must be better, right?. It seems obvious, yet initially there was the the theoretical concern of ADE : antibody dependant enhancement, where some antibodies can actually cause increased binding of the virus to a receptor - increasing infection risk. Fortunately not the case for the Covid vaccines, though this had to be shown not to be the case before work progressed on candidate vaccines.

 

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51 minutes ago, hightail said:

I'd also love to understand if measurable antibody levels are what matters long term.  There are jabs we get or diseases we've had which confer long term protection, some supposedly for life.  Is my blood still rife with measurable levels of all of those?

 

Good info in the links I gave re that and bone marrow - although just like with 'how many million antibodies? - there is no definitive answer.

 

and under that umbrella (lol) Dont forget the T cells

 

Some bedtime reading when you've gone through the earlier links a couple of times :-) :

2021.06.08.447308v1.full.pdf

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Crumbling Hospitals, Schools, council services, businesses and roads

 

If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

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10 years to save the Vest

After Truss lost the shirt off the UKs back in 49 days

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11 minutes ago, BazzaS said:

To add to the mix : “high antibody levels” must be better, right?

It is the current argument for further doses - that the antibody level will drop with time.  It becomes a different argument for me if we are talking about a modified vaccine capable of giving greater protection against currently circulatiing variants.  The risk/reward though of just dosing everyone with more of the same changes according to current protection (antibody levels) and known side effects.  This is the current argument against vaccinating children -  you might kill the odd one with the vaccine and so far the risk of serious illness in children doesn't warrant that risk.

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3 minutes ago, hightail said:

you might kill the odd one with the vaccine and so far the risk of serious illness in children doesn't warrant that risk.

 

I think it highly unlikely that either the O/AZ or mRNA vaccines will kill more children than covid (even with the small announced UK figures) with that cost/'benefit getting higher with the new variants that seem more able to affect and harm kids

 

and the added benefit of any reduction in transmission, and hence mutation seems likely to add vastly to the benefit to kids, let alone their families

 

A political nightmare though

The Tory Legacy

Record high Taxes, Immigration, Excrement in waterways, energy company/crony profits

Crumbling Hospitals, Schools, council services, businesses and roads

 

If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

with the same gusto they do around their crooked MPs

 

10 years to save the Vest

After Truss lost the shirt off the UKs back in 49 days

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21 minutes ago, tobyjugg2 said:

I think it highly unlikely that either the O/AZ or mRNA vaccines will kill more children than covid (even with the small announced UK figures) with that cost/'benefit getting higher with the new variants that seem more able to affect and harm kids

 

and the added benefit of any reduction in transmission, and hence mutation seems likely to add vastly to the benefit to kids, let alone their families

 

A political nightmare though

The benefit of reduction in transmission is undeniable TJ.  One catastrophic vaccine reaction would though be a PR nightmare. 

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It looks like reduction in transmission is somewhere between 45-65% after 2 doses (a huge margin of estimation yes but they are from the real world studies of various other vaccines which seem sadly inadequate/unreliable re O/AZ)

- but taking a roughly centre point as a starting point you are looking at halving the transmission.

 

Maybe its better for kids that they get infected and build up resistance - I have little clue on that, (we are likely to see some severe kickback from the more 'routine' respiratory diseases this winter with the fall off in exposer and resistance)

but we do know that other older family members could still get very sick,

the newer variants ARE seeming to make kids and the inoculated sick in increased numbers (lose lose)

and each transmission is a notch on the mutation pole.

 

Johnson has backed us into something of a corner - any update on the pfiser vaccine availability

- although the new O/AZ variant vaccine does seem to have promise - for what their word is worth

The Tory Legacy

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Crumbling Hospitals, Schools, council services, businesses and roads

 

If only the Govt had thrown a protective ring around care homes

with the same gusto they do around their crooked MPs

 

10 years to save the Vest

After Truss lost the shirt off the UKs back in 49 days

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1 hour ago, hightail said:

This is the current argument against vaccinating children -  you might kill the odd one with the vaccine and so far the risk of serious illness in children doesn't warrant that risk.


The best (current!) reason for not vaccinating children in the U.K. in public health terms (assuming maximal U.K. adult vaccination)  is that those doses of vaccine will do more good (for the U.K., let alone abroad!) being used for adults in the developing world.

Less cases there, especially in the immunocompromised, less variant development, less imported variants, less U.K. cases.

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To be fair it could be weeks since I saw either Whitty or one of the spokesmen saying they had to be very careful with vaccine safety in children and the risks from Covid in youngsters weren't great enough to vaccinate. 

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