“There is the science, and then the art”.
The science gives you verifiable facts and figures. The art is applying the science in the real world, taking human factors into account.
If I had been in Wuhan, I’d hope I’d apply the principles of Bentham utilitarianism, taking all measures I could to protect myself but without risking others (so, no lying to evade movement controls). Yet, until actually placed in that situation: would I?
I don’t know what I’d actually do until I’m in the situation.
What then if (early on in the Wuhan outbreak, before the travel embargo) I am already booked on a pre-planned flight out?
Do I cancel it? Not if I don't have a temperature....
What if I have a temperature? I should ‘not travel’, but what would you (or I) actually do?
Public opinion (looking at the case of the ‘Michelin traveller’) says to travel would be selfish.
What if I had a temperature, but my flight (booked before the outbreak) was to visit a terminally ill relative, who had only a very short time remaining?. Things are rarely cut and dried.
What would you (anyone, not just me and HB) do? Do you believe that what you think you’d do (when considering the issues) is going to always be the same as what you do when actually in that situation?
Eyam plague: The village of the damned http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-35064071
Would people do the same, today?
My point, HB, is that I predicted that “people lie, so the case finding definition factors this (and other human factors) in”.
”Case finding definition” (14 days) should always be longer than both “currently known incubation period” (5-6 days), and “current predicted time to detection” (10 days), so:
saying that the “case finding 14 days” means that the incubation period must be 14 days is wrong.
To do so, and to keep doing so even after explanation of the difference shows a lack of understanding.
That flyer, she was indeed very selfish, but that is human behaviour for you. You can’t stop such (people lying during screening) any more than you can stop people deliberately trying to game the system (taking anti-pyretics before flight boarding screening, and prior to destination screening) or innocently and inadvertently answering screening questions incorrectly (The “what state was I in?” What day did I leave?” that I mentioned above)
Shocking pictures reveal ‘disgusting’ conditions inside Hermes depot where workers ‘feel like slaves’. Read more at https://www.consumeractiongroup.co.uk/topic/419726-shocking-pictures-reveal-%E2%80%98disgusting%E2%80%99-conditions-inside-hermes-depot-where-workers-%E2%80%98feel-like-slaves%E2%80%99/
Euro Car Parks issued this ticket to the police in Devon and Cornwall. Read more at https://www.consumeractiongroup.co.uk/topic/419522-can-anyone-identify-the-parking-company-which-issued-this-ticket-to-the-police-in-devon-and-cornwall/